US equities extended their advance into record territory last week, underpinned by a renewed surge in momentum across the semiconductor sector. Demand for advanced chips continues to accelerate, driven by the extraordinary scale of capital investment being directed toward data‑centre infrastructure to support the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI). While this has translated into increasingly upbeat earnings expectations, it has also pushed valuations sharply higher across much of the semiconductor value chain. That dynamic has been most clearly illustrated by NVIDIA, the world’s largest company by market capitalisation, whose shares have risen by more than +20.0% over the past month, lifting its valuation back above the $5 trillion mark. The company’s high‑end chips remain critical to leading AI model developers such as Anthropic and OpenAI, as well as the major hyperscalers including Microsoft and Amazon. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 gained +0.6% in dollar terms, while the Nasdaq outperformed with a further +1.5% rise, reinforcing the market’s current preference for growth and technology leadership.
Equity‑market performance elsewhere was more mixed over the week. European indices came under notable pressure, with the MSCI Europe ex‑UK falling -2.6% in euro terms as ongoing uncertainty around the conflict in Iran weighed on sentiment. The continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz proved a particular headwind, reinforcing concerns around energy supply, inflation, and growth across the region. UK equities fared no better as both the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 declined by -2.7%, with the large‑cap index slipping to a three‑week low as energy‑related volatility and inflation fears persisted, while defence stocks also surrendered some recent gains. By contrast, Asian markets offered a more varied picture. Japan was a notable outperformer, with the Nikkei 225 rising +2.2% in yen terms and flirting with record highs, supported by strong advances among AI‑linked names. In China, equity sentiment was steadier, with the Shanghai Composite edging +0.7% higher (in renminbi), extending a modest recovery despite broader global uncertainty.
Moving to commodities, price action was once again dominated by developments in the Middle East. Oil prices came under renewed upward pressure as little progress was made toward de‑escalation between the US and Iran. The situation was further complicated by the seizure of a second tanker by the US Navy, alongside reports of additional Iranian attacks on vessels operating in the region. Against that backdrop, Brent crude surged +16.1% to $105 a barrel, having reclaimed the $100 level mid‑week for the first time in a fortnight, as concerns around supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz intensified. Gold moved the other way. The precious metal fell -3.0% to $4,722 an ounce, as rising Treasury yields and a firmer dollar proved material headwinds, reducing gold’s appeal as a non‑yielding asset despite the unsettled geopolitical backdrop
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| Day | Country | Measure | Period | Forecast | Previous |
| Monday | N/A | - | - | - | - |
| Tuesday | Japan | Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting | April | - | - |
| Unemployment Rate | March | 2.60% | 2.60% | ||
| Wednesday | US | Building Permits Seasonally Adjusted Annual Units | March | 1.398m | 1.386m |
| Durable Goods Orders MoM | March | 0.90% | -1.30% | ||
| Housing Starts Seasonally Adjusted Annual Units | March | 1.406m | 1.487m | ||
| Thursday | China | Official Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index | April | 50.20 | 50.40 |
| Ratingdog Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index | April | - | 50.80 | ||
| Europe | European Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting | April | - | - | |
| Flash Consumer Price Index Inflation YoY | April | 2.90% | 2.60% | ||
| Preliminary GDP QoQ | Q1'26 | 0.20% | 0.20% | ||
| Unemployment Rate | March | 6.20% | 6.20% | ||
| UK | Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Meeting | April | - | - | |
| US | Preliminary GDP QoQ | Q1'26 | 2.30% | 0.50% | |
| Friday | UK | Bank of England Money & Credit Report | April | - | - |
| US | ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index | April | 53.00 | 52.70 | |
| Source: Workspace DataStream | |||||
SJP Approved: 27/04/2026
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SJP Approved: 27/04/2026
